Background for the renewed interest rate cut
One of the main reasons for the interest rate cut is the very weak inflation. In May 2025, consumer prices fell by 0.1 % compared to May 2024.
Why has inflation fallen so sharply? The very strong Swiss franc has caused the prices of imported goods to fall and oil prices have fallen by an impressive 9.6 % compared to the previous year. In important areas, however, the picture is different: prices for services have risen by 0.6 % and residential rents have even increased by 2.6 %. There can therefore be no talk of broad-based deflation as yet.
Consequences for the property and mortgage market
Mortgage interest rates had already fallen significantly in the run-up to the interest rate decision and ten-year fixed-rate mortgages are available for well under 1.5% in some cases. SARON mortgages are reacting directly to the interest rate cut, although the banks will continue to try to widen their margins. It can therefore be assumed that SARON mortgages will fall by slightly less than 0.25%.
Falling mortgage rates lead to increased demand for property and rising property prices. The shock of the interest rate turnaround from 2023 has now definitely been overcome and even a return to negative interest rates seems to be within reach.